Expect sultry heat and an increased risk of severe thunderstorms across much of the nation this summer – including in New York.
According to AccuWeather’s long-range summer forecast, most of the United States is expected to see above-average temperatures during the summer months.
The most extreme heat is forecast for parts of the western U.S., including California, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, Oregon, Utah, Washington and Wyoming. Forecasters warn those areas could also face an increased risk of wildfires, heat waves and worsening drought conditions.
How hot will New York get this summer?
The Northeast is expected to see a “late surge of heat and higher humidity,” according to AccuWeather long-range expert Paul Pastelok.
“We’re looking at another slow transition for the Northeast and Great Lakes,” Pastelok said. “Seems like that’s been the case over the last couple of seasons.”
Temperatures across New York are forecast to run 1 to 2 degrees above normal between June and August.
In New York City, AccuWeather predicts between 16 and 22 days with temperatures reaching 90 degrees or higher this summer.
For comparison, Central Park has averaged 18 days at or above 90 degrees over the past 15 years. In 2025, the city recorded 14 such days, according to AccuWeather.
Severe storms possible across New York
Severe weather threats, including strong thunderstorms, are also expected to increase across parts of the country this summer.
In New York and much of the Northeast, AccuWeather says the peak period for severe storms is expected in July.
Forecasters also warn that intense storms could bring flooding risks to some parts of the state.
Southwestern New York and parts of the Southern Tier – particularly areas near the Pennsylvania border – face at least some risk of flooding this summer, according to the forecast.
This article originally appeared on Rockland/Westchester Journal News: NY summer forecast just dropped. One month could get especially rough
Reporting by Victoria E. Freile, New York Connect Team / Rockland/Westchester Journal News
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
