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What are the odds that Golden State lands the No. 1 pick?

The Golden State Warriors will pick in the lottery after failing to make the NBA playoffs for the fourth time in the last seven years. Following a Play-In Tournament defeat, the Warriors are most likely to land the 11th pick in the upcoming 2026 NBA Draft.

As it stands, Golden State has a 77.6% probability of picking in the 11th spot and a 12.6% chance of picking 12th.

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That said, what are the odds that the Warriors win the lottery?

Golden State’s lottery odds

Golden State has a 2% chance to earn the No. 1 overall selection, and in total, they have a 9.4% chance to pick in the top four.

However, if the Warriors do end up with a top selection, there’s a good chance it may be used as trade bait in order to make another championship push as Stephen Curry enters the final year of his contract.

This article originally appeared on Warriors Wire: What are the odds that Golden State lands the No. 1 pick?

Reporting by Mack Baltes, Warriors Wire / Warriors Wire

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

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