The Buffalo Bills were aggressive on offense with Joe Brady as offensive coordinator already.
One could expect that to continue with his promotion to head coach, and as far as fourth down is concerned… and that’s a good thing.
Pro Football Focus broke down the analytical numbers on fourth down from across the NFL from 2021 to 2025. Per PFF, the Bills were not among the top-five teams to go for it on fourth down in that time.
Buffalo was just among the most successful.
In terms of three other PFF analytical stats, the Bills did rank amongst the top-five teams in the NFL. Brady and quarterback Josh Allen have gotten the seal of approval here.
Those three figures for the Bills and PFF’s breakdowns can be found below:
Bills’ fourth-down conversaion rate: 62.6% (4th in NFL)
Andy Reid may not be extremely inclined to go for it on the final down, but his game plans have clearly worked — and that high success rate likely isn’t a coincidence in fueling the team’s dynastic run. The Rams, Eagles and Bills also rank in the league’s elite tier of organizations since 2021, and their ability to maintain possessions is presumably a factor. More specifically, Philadelphia guide Nick Sirianni has blended pushing the right buttons with a wildly successful — and hotly debated — play on fourth down.
Bills’ average yards per play on fourth down: 5.8 yards (1st)
The Bills’ version of the tush push — sometimes known as the “Snow Plow” — has been wildly successful, as Josh Allen’s 6-foot-5 frame isn’t easy to stop moving downhill. Intriguingly, none of the other three teams inside the top four of this list rank above the league-average fourth-down rate, as they’re clearly not overly influenced by track record. Meanwhile, the Lions’ and Panthers’ aggressiveness has paid off based on their per-play averages.
Bills’ fourth-down ‘agree’ rate: 81.2% (1st)
Not only are the Bills wildly effective on fourth down, but former head coach Sean McDermott also rolled the dice at the right time, according to PFF’s fourth-down decision model. New guide Joe Brady will likely follow suit.
What’s especially fascinating about this metric is that it features teams who range on both ends of the spectrum, from very aggressive (Browns, Giants) to the most modest (Seahawks, Saints, Ravens). Perhaps those coaching staffs should have extra reason to believe in their calls to keep the offense on the field, kick or punt on fourth down. For the former group, Cleveland and New York appear to be undergoing the right process but executing poorly.
This article originally appeared on Bills Wire: PFF: Bills’ numbers on fourth-down last season among best in NFL
Reporting by Nick Wojton, USA TODAY / Bills Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
By Nick Wojton, USA TODAY | USA TODAY Network
