The Chicago Bears are coming off an impressive 2025 season, where they posted an 11-6 record, winning the NFC North and winning their first playoff game in nearly two decades. Now, Chicago will look to retain their division crown while dealing with some big losses and new faces on the roster heading into 2026.
In addition to facing their NFC foes twice, the Bears will play the NFC South and AFC East next season, which includes home games against the New England Patriots and Tampa Bay Buccaneers, as well as away games against the Buffalo Bills and Carolina Panthers. With the Bears finishing first in the NFC North, they’ll also face the same-place finishers in the NFC East, NFC West and AFC South.
ESPN has released their 2026 projections, including win probability for all 17 games for each team. Where do they project the Bears to finish in 2026 and how many of their 17 games do they have a favorable win probability in? Here’s a look:
Bears win probabilities for every 2026 game
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This article originally appeared on Bears Wire: Bears’ win probability for every game on 2026 schedule
Reporting by Alyssa Barbieri, Bears Wire / Bears Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
