If you’re a Colts fan disappointed in the offseason, you’re not alone. BetOnline.ag release its odds for each Colts game and it’s not a pretty sight, especially early.
The Colts are favored in just 6 games — both Tennessee games, Miami at home, New York Giants at home, at Cleveland and home vs Jacksonville.
Indianapolis is the underdog in its first five games — Baltimore, at Kansas City, Houston, vs. Washington, at Pittsburgh — and 8 of the first nine games.
Wait! There’s good news. The spread can be converted to a win probability by pro-football-reference.com. Being a 5.5-point underdog to Kansas City isn’t an automatic loss. It still gives the Colts a 34.1% chance of winning. Accounting for the win probabilities, there’s only a 6.7% chance the Colts open the season 0-5.
And if you account for the win probabilities, the Colts should win 8 games this year. Maybe that’s not good news but it’s less bad news!
These spreads can and will change significantly once the season gets here — is Patrick Mahomes actually going to be recovered from a torn ACL in Week 2? Will Daniel Jones be playing after tearing his Achilles tendon?
Here are the spreads for each game:
Week 1: vs. Baltimore, +3.5
Week 2: at Kansas City, +5.5
Week 3: vs. Houston, +1.5
Week 4: vs. Washington, +1.5
Week 5: at Pittsburgh, +2.5
Week 6: vs. Tennessee, -3.5
Week 7: at Minnesota, +3
Week 8: at Jacksonville, +4.5
Week 9: vs. Dallas Cowboys, +1.5
Week 10: vs. Miami, -6.5
Week 11: at Houston, +5.5
Weel 12: vs. N.Y. Giants, -2.5
Week 13: BYEWeek 14: at Philadelphia, +5.5
Week 15: at Tennessee, -1.5
Week 16: vs. Cincinnati, +1.5
Week 17: at Cleveland, -1.5
Week 18: vs Jacksonville, -1.5
Joel A. Erickson and Nathan Brown cover the Colts all season. Get more coverage on IndyStarTV and with the Colts Insider newsletter.
This article originally appeared on Indianapolis Star: What are the odds Colts start 0-5? No as bad as you think. Really!
Reporting by Nat Newell, Indianapolis Star / Indianapolis Star
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
