On paper, anyway, the Indianapolis Colts have one of the easier schedules in football for this 2026 NFL season.
For starters, the Colts will play just four playoff teams from the 2025 season. Based on their opponents’ projected win totals, the Colts’ strength of schedule ranks ninth in the NFL.
ESPN’s analytics have the Colts with the sixth-easiest schedule in the league.
However, will that translate to wins? Perhaps not enough, with ESPN’s projected win total for the Colts sitting at 8.5.
Mike Clay recently went game-by-game, sharing the win-probability projections for the Colts. In only seven of these matchups is the Colts’ win probability greater than 50%.
These probabilities also highlight the very difficult start to the season that the Colts face.
Colts’ 2026 win probabilities for each game
This article originally appeared on Colts Wire: Win probabilities for every Colts game on 2026 NFL schedule
Reporting by Paul Bretl, Colts Wire / Colts Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
