The National Hurricane Center is watching Invest 95L, a broad area of low pressure in the Atlantic expected to become a tropical depression by midweek.
Invest 95L is forecast to move quickly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic and approach the Leeward Islands by the latter part of this week, per the NHC’s Oct. 6 update.
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“It is becoming likely that this will organize into a tropical storm this week,” said AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski.
The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be called Jerry.
It’s too soon to tell what, if any, impacts the system will have on Florida. Currently, models show the system turning north near the Caribbean.
Meanwhile, the Sarasota, Florida area weather forecast calls for a chance of showers and thunderstorms daily through Friday, with temperatures in the high 80s and low 90s.
Invest 95L spaghetti models. See expected path
Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
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Where is Invest 95L and where is it going?
Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time.
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Weather radar for Bradenton, Sarasota and Manatee County, Florida
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This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Invest 95L spaghetti models. Will potential Tropical Storm Jerry affect Sarasota, Bradenton?
Reporting by Kim Luciani and Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK – Florida / Sarasota Herald-Tribune
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
