A broad low pressure area is expected to form off the southeastern U.S., including Florida, along the western end of a frontal system on Monday or Tuesday, according to the National Hurricane Center’s June 28 advisory.
Thereafter, the system has a 20% chance of development over the next seven days as it drifts westward.
The next named storm of the 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season will be Bertha.
Additionally, the NHC is monitoring three tropical waves Sunday.
Here’s what the hurricane center is tracking in the tropics as of 8 a.m., Sunday, June 28, 2026.
National Hurricane Center tracking Disturbance 1, tropical waves
One disturbance and three tropical waves are being monitored by NHC forecasters:
Disturbance 1:
Disturbance 1, off the southeastern coast of the U. S. coast: A broad low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of a frontal system on Monday or Tuesday. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it drifts westward.
Tropical waves:
What is a tropical wave?
“Tropical waves are clusters of showers and thunderstorms that act as the seedlings for many tropical storms throughout the Atlantic season,” DaSilva said.
➤ Explanation of hurricane terms we hope not to hear in Florida this year
“There are about 60 tropical waves that move across the Atlantic each year, and roughly 10 percent to 15 percent of them develop into a tropical system. That’s about one in seven.
“Tropical waves are important because they contribute to about 80 percent of all major hurricanes.”
When is hurricane season in Florida?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.
➤ 2026 Atlantic hurricane season begins today. What can Florida expect?
The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump.
How many tropical storms, hurricanes are in a typical season?
The 30-year average, from 1991 to 2020, is for 14 named storms, seven hurricanes and three major hurricanes.
Could Florida be hit by a hurricane in 2026? See which counties have highest chance
2026 hurricane season names
Names for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, and how to pronounce them, are:
Florida weather radar for June 28, 2026
Weather watches and warnings in Florida
When is the peak of Atlantic hurricane season?
The peak of the Atlantic hurricane season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Interactive map: See how many hurricanes, tropical storms have passed near your address
Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text
Kim Luciani is a journalist for the USA TODAY Network-Florida’s Audience team. You can get all of Florida’s best content directly in your inbox each weekday by signing up for the free newsletter, Florida TODAY, at https://heraldtribune.com/newsletters.
This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Disturbance expected to form near Florida, further development possible
Reporting by Kim Luciani, USA TODAY NETWORK – Florida / Sarasota Herald-Tribune
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
By Kim Luciani, USA TODAY NETWORK – Florida | USA TODAY Network
