The start of hurricane season is near. Should Texans be worried?
The National Hurricane Center released its first daily tropical outlook for the 2025 hurricane season Thursday morning with reassuring news: “No tropical cyclone activity is anticipated over the next seven days.”
Here’s what you need to know about the hurricane forecasts in the future.
Are there any tropical waves, disturbances? See NHC forecast map
Currently, no tropical cyclones or disturbances are being tracked. Both the National Weather Service’s tropical weather page and the National Hurricane Center’s website confirm the absence of any active storms in the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, or Gulf of Mexico — renamed “Gulf of America” by the U.S. Geological Survey under an order by the Trump administration.
What are the National Hurricane Center’s tropical outlook?
Tropical outlooks are issued every day by the National Hurricane Center starting May 15 through Nov. 30.
Hurricane season 2025 predictions
Predictions released as of May 13 predict an above-normal number of named tropical systems, ranging from:
How many named storms are in an average hurricane season?
What’s the hurricane season forecast for Texas?
Texans should expect some hurricane activity this year. Earlier this spring, Colorado State researchers published a report with a state-by-state look at hurricane risk.
In Texas, there is a 70% storm chance and 44% hurricane chance this year, as well as a 19% chance of a major hurricane tracking within 50 miles of the state, experts with Colorado State University have predicted. AccuWeather similarly forecasted a higher-than-average risk of direct impact in Texas. Their prediction is based on what forecasters call “analog” years.
Weather watches and warnings in Texas
When is the Atlantic hurricane season?
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.
Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said.
When is the peak of hurricane season?
The peak of the season is Sept. 10, with the most activity happening between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.
Why does NHC say ‘tropical cyclone’ on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm?
Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it’s in the tropical Atlantic basin.
To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a “rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation,” NOAA said.
Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated:
Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city
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This article originally appeared on Austin American-Statesman: NHC issues first tropical outlook ahead of 2025 hurricane season. Are any storms brewing?
Reporting by Marley Malenfant, Austin American-Statesman / Austin American-Statesman
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
