Spaghetti models of Tropical Storm Jerry 6 a.m. Oct. 9, 2025.
Spaghetti models of Tropical Storm Jerry 6 a.m. Oct. 9, 2025.
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Tropical Storm Jerry spaghetti models, path. Will future hurricane stay away from Florida?

Tropical Storm Jerry continues to strengthen and is expected to bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the northern Leeward Islands later today and into Friday, Oct. 10, according to the National Hurricane Center.

The tropical storm is now expected to become a hurricane late Friday or Saturday.

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Current models show Jerry taking a path similar to other hurricanes this year, curving to the north and staying away from Florida and the U.S. East Coast.

Spaghetti models for Tropical Storm Jerry. See expected path

Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.

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See latest satellite photos of Tropical Storm Jerry, graphics showing expected impacts

Where is Tropical Storm Jerry and where is it going?

Special note on the NHC cone: The forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. 

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This story has been updated to include new information.

This article originally appeared on Sarasota Herald-Tribune: Tropical Storm Jerry spaghetti models, path. Will future hurricane stay away from Florida?

Reporting by Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK – Florida / Sarasota Herald-Tribune

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

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