The National Hurricane Center continues tracking three tropical waves that are moving west across the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean but doesn’t expect any tropical development.
The 2025 hurricane season started just a day shy of two weeks ago, and so far, the Atlantic has been eerily quiet despite initial outlooks predicting activity to be about 125% of the average hurricane season from 1991-2020.
Colorado State University has updated its 2025 hurricane season forecast, reaffirming its claim that the Atlantic hurricane season will spawn around 17 named storms and nine hurricanes.
Phil Klotzbach, a hurricane researcher with CSU and the lead author of the forecast, said early season activity, or the lack thereof, doesn’t foreshadow what will happen later in the season.
“Compared to the last few years maybe it’s sluggish because the odds of having a Category 5 in the Caribbean are pretty low,” Klotzbach said.
The current lull in the season is in part due to the constant barrage of Saharan dust plumes looming over budding tropical activity and tepid water temperatures in the deep Atlantic, but CSU’s updated hurricane season outlook shows that it’s no time to get complacent.
Where are the tropical waves in the Atlantic now?
Here is the latest information about the three tropical storms the NHC is tracking:
Saharan dust helping keep tropics quiet in Atlantic basin
Saharan dust is expected to help keep the tropics quiet into the week of June 16, according to AccuWeather.
Frequent pockets of dust are moving across the Atlantic from Africa, where they’ll affect Florida as they move into the Gulf.
A plume of Saharan Dust is expected to arrive in South Florida starting Friday, June 13, according to the National Weather Service Miami. The arrival of the dust should decrease rain chances starting Friday.
What else is happening in the Gulf, Caribbean and the Atlantic?
The Gulf is currently seeing scattered thunderstorms with low to moderate winds and seas in most areas.
Strong trade winds are creating rough seas in the Caribbean. Meanwhile, the passing tropical wave is producing thunderstorms in the southwest.
High-pressure systems in the Atlantic are keeping winds and seas moderate.
How long does the Atlantic hurricane season last?
The U.S. experiences two hurricane seasons: The Atlantic and the Pacific. Floridians are on the receiving end of the Atlantic hurricane season, which runs annually from June 1 to Nov. 30. The Pacific hurricane season runs from May 15 to Nov. 30.
Is there a hurricane coming toward Florida?
The NHC does not expect to see any tropical activity over the next seven days.
Forecasters predict 13-19 tropical storms during 2025 Atlantic hurricane season
All of the major forecasters have released their outlooks for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, which lean toward another active one. Here’s a brief look at their forecasts:
CSU hurricane season predictions
NOAA hurricane season predictions
AccuWeather hurricane season predictions
Contributors: Cheryl McCloud – USA TODAY NETWORK Florida
This article originally appeared on Pensacola News Journal: NHC tracking 3 tropical waves as Saharan dust, tepid sea temperatures keep Atlantic subdued
Reporting by Brandon Girod, Pensacola News Journal / Pensacola News Journal
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
