FILE PHOTO: Shipping containers are stacked on a cargo ship at the port of Oakland following the Supreme Court's ruling that Trump had exceeded his authority when he imposed tariffs, in Oakland, California, U.S., February 24, 2026. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
FILE PHOTO: Shipping containers are stacked on a cargo ship at the port of Oakland following the Supreme Court's ruling that Trump had exceeded his authority when he imposed tariffs, in Oakland, California, U.S., February 24, 2026. REUTERS/Carlos Barria/File Photo
Home » News » Business & Economy » Trump's tariffs had little impact on GDP in 2025, but raised revenue, academic paper finds
Business & Economy

Trump's tariffs had little impact on GDP in 2025, but raised revenue, academic paper finds

WASHINGTON, March 25 (Reuters) – U.S. President Donald Trump’s barrage of tariffs last year had only a minimal impact on U.S. economic output but raised significant federal revenue and contributed to a further U.S.-China trade decoupling, a new Brookings Institution academic paper showed on Wednesday.

The paper analyzing the short-run impact of Trump’s tariffs found that their “net welfare impact” on the U.S. economy was a range of adding 0.1% of GDP to subtracting 0.13% of GDP, depending on assumptions about changing terms of trade, including the extent to which demand shifts to domestically produced goods.

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Here are some other key findings of the study conducted by University of California-Los Angeles economist Pablo Fajgelbaum and Yale University economist Amit Khandelwal:

(Reporting by David Lawder; Editing by Lincoln Feast)

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