ESPN NFL analyst Aaron Schatz made one “big prediction” for the offseason for each of the 18 NFL teams that missed the playoffs.
So what did Schatz select for the Indianapolis Colts?
Schatz believes that the Colts could give a big extension to safety Nick Cross, who is set to be a free agent.
“He did well in my coverage DVOA metric and was involved in 14.0% of Colts defensive plays, seventh among safeties through Week 17,” wrote Schatz. “His average run tackle came after a gain of just 4.4 yards (ranked sixth among safeties through Week 17).”
Cross was moved around Lou Anarumo’s defense, but primarily filled the strong safety role, with Cam Bynum often as the deep safety.
Cross was again productive near the line of scrimmage, logging 16 quarterback pressures and the fourth-highest run-stop rate among safeties, according to PFF.
When in coverage, Cross recorded one interception and three pass breakups, giving up 11.3 yards per catch. Quarterbacks had a passer rating of 110.0 when targeting him.
For what it’s worth, PFF’s coverage grade wasn’t nearly as high on Cross as Schatz’s DVOA metric is.
According to Spotrac, they project that Cross will earn $24.26 million over his next four-year deal. That’s an average annual value of $6.1 million.
If Cross’ contract ends up in that ballpark, I could see the Colts bringing him back. But Cross will likely draw interest in free agency, and after the Colts brought in Bynum last year at safety, along with having other roster holes to allocate cap space towards, I don’t believe that it’s a given he returns.
This article originally appeared on Colts Wire: NFL analyst makes ‘big prediction’ for Indianapolis Colts’ offseason
Reporting by Paul Bretl, Colts Wire / Colts Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
