The National Hurricane Center is busy keeping an eye on three tropical disturbances in the Atlantic.
Cristobal, which became the season’s first-named tropical storm Aug. 12, has already weakened, becoming a tropical depression this morning and a post-tropical cyclone shortly before noon Aug. 13. The National Hurricane Center issued its last advisory on Cristobal at 11 a.m.
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Forecasters are watching Invest 92L and Invest 94L as they move toward the Caribbean.
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Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for gradual development, and Invest 94L could become a tropical depression late this week or this weekend.
Invest 94L spaghetti models. See expected path
Special note about spaghetti models: Spaghetti model illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The Hurricane Center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
Invest 94L could become tropical depression by weekend
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What impact could Invest 94L have on Florida?
Invest 92L, located west of Invest 94L, “may be able to push away some of the dry air in the basin ahead of 94L,” said meteorologist Nick Arman, with AccuWeather forecasting operations.
“It is still too early to tell where 94L may track, but this wave will also face the same challenges as 92L is facing, including dry air in the Main Development Region and hostile wind shear as it approaches the Caribbean.
“Any potential impacts to Florida or the United States would not be until late next week at the earliest, so we still have plenty of time to monitor the progression of this wave.”
Bottom line: It’s too early to tell whether Invest 94L will have any impact on Florida, although none are anticipated as of Aug. 13.
What will be next named storms in Atlantic basin?
Dolly and Eduard are the next two names for the Atlantic basin, which covers the Atlantic, Gulf of America and Caribbean.
How strong are winds for a tropical depression?
A tropical depression has maximum sustained surface winds — based on a one-minute average — of 38 mph or less, according to the National Weather Service.
How strong are winds for a tropical storm?
A tropical storm has maximum sustained surface winds ranging from 39-73 mph.
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This story has been updated with new information.
Cheryl McCloud is a journalist for the USA TODAY Network-Florida’s service journalism Connect team. You can get all of Florida’s best content directly in your inbox each weekday day by signing up for the free newsletter, Florida TODAY, at https://tcpalm.com/newsletters.
This article originally appeared on Treasure Coast Newspapers: See latest spaghetti models for Invest 94L. Will it impact Florida?
Reporting by Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK – Florida / Treasure Coast Newspapers
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By Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY NETWORK – Florida | USA TODAY Network
