When the Miami Dolphins and Washington Commanders meet in Madrid for a Week 11 battle, the latter will be without starting quarterback, Jayden Daniels. The Commanders will also be without No. 1 receiver Terry McLaurin and defensive tackle Daron Payne.
Miami, on the other hand, comes in pretty healthy.
With Miami’s offense starting to gel and a matchup against a floundering Commanders defense, there’s an opportunity for a few Dolphins offensive players to have big games Sunday. Here are our prop bet picks for the NFL’s first ever game in Spain:
All odds via BetMGM
Tua Tagovailoa OVER 238.5 passing yards (-115)
It’s been a tough season for Tua Tagovailoa, but this game could be an opportunity to right the ship. Washington’s defense has allowed the most passing yards in the NFL this season (2,602) and the most net yards per pass attempt (7.9). They have also allowed the second most touchdowns (22). While Tagovailoa has only reached 250 passing yards three times this season, Sunday could be a fourth.
Jaylen Waddle OVER 75.5 receiving yards (-115)
It only makes sense to pair Jaylen Waddle’s receiving yards prop with Tagovailoa’s passing success. While he’s averaging 69.7 yards per game on the season, Waddle has averaged 80.8 yards per game since Tyreek Hill’s move to injured reserve. He’s racked up more than 75 yards in five of the last six games, including the last three. This is a tailor-made matchup for Waddle to potentially reach triple digits in receiving yardage.
Riley Patterson OVER 1.5 field goals made (-118)
Riley Patterson has missed just two field goals all season on 16 attempts. He has hit a pair of field goals in six of Miami’s nine games this year. The Commanders will likely allow the Dolphins to move the ball down the field, but if those drives stall due to Miami’s lack of red zone threats, Patterson is a reliable player to add three points.
Deebo Samuel OVER 20.5 yards on LONGEST reception (-118)
Dynamic wide-out Deebo Samuel hasn’t been prolific in his Washington tenure so far and the absence of Jayden Daniels hasn’t helped. In the last four weeks, Samuel’s averaging four catches per game and 24 yards. The Commanders will want to get him involved, but the safer bet is that his impact comes in a big chunk or two rather than a lot of volume.
Greg Dulcich OVER 21.5 receiving yards (-118)
The Dolphins have found a solid, albeit not spectacular, pass-catching threat in tight end in Greg Dulcich. Two weeks ago, he caught all five of his targets for 49 yards. While he was held to just one catch a week later, it still went for 22 yards. If he could get his hands on a few targets, he should exceed his low total of 21.5.
Zach Ertz OVER 44.5 receiving yards (-110)
The best tight end on the field Sunday is 13-year veteran Zach Ertz. The Dolphins have had difficulty against tight ends all season, allowing 63 receptions to them for 714 yards. Ertz recorded 100 receiving yards across the last two weeks and should be a favorite target for Marcus Mariota on Sunday.
This article originally appeared on Dolphins Wire: 6 player prop bet picks for Dolphins vs. Commanders in Week 11
Reporting by Jason Sarney, Dolphins Wire / Dolphins Wire
USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect
